By Lukoye Atwoli
Sunday Nation 22 June 2014
Observing the behaviour of  Kenyans  and  their so-called leaders, there is no doubt we have failed to learn from history. For several months  now,  we  have  unnecessarily lost many lives in events that demonstrate a lack of creativity in the running of public  affairs.  These  events have  particularly escalated  in recent weeks.
One  could  come  to several conclusions based on this observation. Firstly, one could argue that it  is  all a  mere  coincidence, and  that  the  road  crashes, chang’aa deaths, terrorist attacks,  increased  crime  and political  instability  have  just happened  to  cluster  together purely by  chance. That  is, of 
course, possible but it is highly improbable.
Secondly,  one  could  argue that  some  malevolent  force hell-bent  on  destroying  our country for some obscure reason has planned at least some of these events. This  is  indeed  the  line adopted by some in and out of government, especially after the attacks at the  coast  when the government claimed there was a political angle to it all. 
The  President  laid  the blame for the current troubles squarely at the feet of “reckless” politicians who were inciting the people. Unfortunately,  all  indications  are  that  this  is  also highly  improbable,  and  that any politicians even  remotely associated with these attacks are either opportunists or bystanders in the wrong place at the wrong time.
A more plausible explanation is that these events are an indication of ineptitude in the arms of government responsible for maintaining  security, law and order. No matter the source of these atrocious happenings, it falls on the government to neutralise the threats before they materialise instead of waiting for people to be killed and then looking for targets to blame.
Social  psychologists  have long ago demonstrated a  link between disorder and crime. In what is now known as the Broken Window Theory, it has been shown that neighbourhoods and property that is left in a state of disrepair soon attracts vandals and criminals of all shades. Wilson and Kelling, in a seminal paper on this topic, argued that “untended” behaviour leads to the breakdown of community controls and order. They demonstrated how an abandoned  piece of  property in  a nice  neighbourhood can cause changes in the behaviour of residents, and eventually lead to increased crime and general 
disorder.
This theory  easily  explains what is currently happening in the country, and could even predict what is in store for us. The security docket has not properly exerted itself in a professional manner in dealing with crime in this country. That  is  not  in  dispute,  no matter where  one stands politically. As  a  result,  many  “small” crimes  have  been  going  unpunished  while  our  police officers get  collectively tarred with claims of corruption and bribe taking.
Tolerance for “small” crimes such as assault, robberies and murders has increased so much that police spokespeople routinely refer to them as “normal” crimes. Consequently  the  country has slid into a general state of lawlessness,  and the  government’s brazen  assertion  that we are now responsible for our own security only worsens this perception. 
Because  of  our  tolerance for “Broken Windows” in our country,  terrorists and other criminals  are having  a  field day. The sooner the government acknowledges this situation and takes firm action to deal with it the better for all of us. 
Dr Atwoli is a consultant psychiatrist and senior lecturer at Moi University’s School of Medicine.
lukoye@gmail.com
 
